Donald Trump seems to have held onto all of the states carried by Republican Mitt Romney in 2012 and managed to win several states that Mr. Romney was unable to carry – Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania – and he is ahead in Michigan and New Hampshire and may carry one or both of them as well, but even if Mrs. Clinton wins both, Mr. Trump still has enough electoral votes to win. Although neither candidate had a majority of the popular vote nationwide, Mrs. Clinton has pulled into the lead and likely will outpoll the winner.
It is interesting that the evangelical voters – many of whom sat at home during the 2012 and 2008 elections – overwhelmingly supported Mr. Trump. It is probable that this was less a reflection of support for him than it was a revulsion at the prospects of a Hillary Clinton presidency. The most divisive member of her husband’s presidential administration, she has done little since then to counteract that perception or to broaden her appeal. Apparently Mrs. Clinton was stunned by the results – so much so that she went home early (a relative term to be sure, given the length of time it took to arrive at a decision) and made no public statement, although she did phone Mr. Trump to concede and to congratulate him.